Football for the season 2019-20

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nick
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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by nick » Sat Jul 18, 2020 4:03 pm

Well done with Luton bookings, Peanut :thumbs . Pity Honeyman couldn't complete the double for you.

AC Milan v Bologna: the away side's Musa Barrow has scored 5 times in his last 6 games - worth a bet at 14/5 (Unibet) to score again today.

Galatasaray v Gaztepe: home team on the slide and desperate to win have had 45 and 65 bookings points in last 2 home games and 50 in last game that was away. Ref Koray Gencerler has recent sequence of 75, 60, 65, 125, 80, 20, 90. Backed over 59 bookings points at 7/4 (skybet).

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peanut
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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by peanut » Sat Jul 18, 2020 4:28 pm

Cheers Nick :thumbs

Zurich v Young Boys 19:30

3+ FC Zurich corners
@ 2.10 sky

Have had 3+ corners in last 8 home games.

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peanut
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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by peanut » Sat Jul 18, 2020 4:40 pm

AC Milan v Bologna 20:45

Red card in the match
@ 3.40

13 red cards between them this season and last time at the San Siro they shared 3 reds.
Ref does like a card or two. 6.35 average a match.

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by nick » Sat Jul 18, 2020 5:32 pm

With Norwich reduced to 9 men {8 for the whole 2nd half and losing 1-0 at home to Burnley, I think it's worth backing Burnley corners in some way. They have 3 on the board at HT so I've gone with a buy of Burnley multi-corners at 14.5 (SPIN).

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by nick » Sat Jul 18, 2020 6:42 pm

nick wrote:
Sat Jul 18, 2020 5:32 pm
With Norwich reduced to 9 men {8 for the whole 2nd half and losing 1-0 at home to Burnley, I think it's worth backing Burnley corners in some way. They have 3 on the board at HT so I've gone with a buy of Burnley multi-corners at 14.5 (SPIN).
Burnley add 5 corners for a massive profit of 0.5 points '# :lol .

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by nick » Sat Jul 18, 2020 8:02 pm

nick wrote:
Sat Jul 18, 2020 4:03 pm
..........................................

AC Milan v Bologna: the away side's Musa Barrow has scored 5 times in his last 6 games - worth a bet at 14/5 (Unibet) to score again today.

Galatasaray v Gaztepe: home team on the slide and desperate to win have had 45 and 65 bookings points in last 2 home games and 50 in last game that was away. Ref Koray Gencerler has recent sequence of 75, 60, 65, 125, 80, 20, 90. Backed over 59 bookings points at 7/4 (skybet).
Musa Barrow not playing for some reason, and only 4 yellows at Galatasaray :> .

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by peanut » Sun Jul 19, 2020 12:06 pm

Roma v Inter Milan 20.45
Roma to score a penalty @ 6.00
Inter to score a penalty @ 5.50

Ref has a card average of 4.57 cards per game and has awarded a penalty in 38% of his games.
Teams have had 24 penalties between them this season.

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harry_rag
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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by harry_rag » Sun Jul 19, 2020 12:35 pm

Derby v Leeds - a bit after the Lord Mayor's show for Leeds but still think Hernandez is a good anytime shout at 7/2 with PP.

Tyler Roberts was an eye catcher (most likely scorer according to the spreads) but hardly prolific and seems to get subbed earlier. Having said that, you know which player to back! ;-)

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by harry_rag » Sun Jul 19, 2020 12:52 pm

2 more in that game - Rooney anytime 5/1 Hills (boosted price too big a carrot to pass up) and 50+ bookings points 13/8 Skybet (might be a dead rubber but still that price is a bit big with Langford in charge).

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by harry_rag » Sun Jul 19, 2020 3:36 pm

Wish I'd just stuck with Hernandez but enough for a profit on the game.

Hills have United to score in both halves v Chelsea out to 4/1 as a happy hour price till 5. Worth taking for the tenner allowed.

Also doubled that game for 4-6 cards at 21/20 with the one at Levante at 5/4. No joy yesterday with doubles, 2 winners but not paired. Singles would have been just better than money back.

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by harry_rag » Sun Jul 19, 2020 4:21 pm

Valladolid/Betis hotshots are 23 to buy with SPIN but 34 with SX for the same quartet (Guardiola, Ramirez, Fekir and Moron). Value to be had somewhere (maybe both ways) but I'll venture a buy with SPIN at less than the cost of 1 goal.

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by harry_rag » Sun Jul 19, 2020 4:36 pm

Taken 13/5 Rashford anytime with Betway. Sub 2/1 in a lot of places and don't think I'd go bigger than that.

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by peanut » Mon Jul 20, 2020 6:12 am

peanut wrote:
Sun Jul 19, 2020 12:06 pm
Roma v Inter Milan 20.45
Roma to score a penalty @ 6.00
Inter to score a penalty @ 5.50

Ref has a card average of 4.57 cards per game and has awarded a penalty in 38% of his games.
Teams have had 24 penalties between them this season.
:thumbs Inter Milan 88 min

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by harry_rag » Mon Jul 20, 2020 12:05 pm

:thumbs Well done, not the best day for me after a promising start with Hernandez. 2 point profit on the hotshots buy the only winner. Again 1 out of 2 on the 4-6 cards bets. Doubles a loser this week but, with 9 out of 19 selections landing, singles would have just done better than break even.

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by peanut » Mon Jul 20, 2020 3:55 pm

Juventus v Lazio 20:45

Juventus to Score a Penalty @ 5.00
Lazio to Take a Penalty @ 7.50

The ref DANIELE ORSATO has awarded a penalty in 52% of games this season. Juventus have received 12 penalties ( 36% ) and covert them all ,Lazio have received 15 ( 45% ) but missed 3.
Cn see goals and cards tonight with hopefully a penalty or two. :)

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by harry_rag » Mon Jul 20, 2020 5:04 pm

10 point arb in bookings in tonight's Porto game, not sure whether a buy at 46 or sell at 56 would make most sense! {8

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by nick » Mon Jul 20, 2020 6:29 pm

harry_rag wrote:
Mon Jul 20, 2020 5:04 pm
10 point arb in bookings in tonight's Porto game, not sure whether a buy at 46 or sell at 56 would make most sense! {8
It's obvious - BOTH ;-) :cheers :cheers .

I'm waiting for SX to get their prices up for Cadiz v Albacete. Have already taken all that Hills would allow me on a red card at 100/30 (allowed £1.50 *, ). Could get lively and the ref is no shrinking violet.

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by harry_rag » Mon Jul 20, 2020 7:01 pm

Cheers Nick followed on that, spreads up at 54-58 I see.

Like the pen prospects in the Porto game, bought pen goal minutes at 19 with SPIN.

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by nick » Tue Jul 21, 2020 3:02 pm

In the Swiss Challenge League strugglers Schaffhausen travel to 2nd place Zurich Grasshoppers with seemingly little hope. However, they do appear to have given things a go in their recent away games having gained 5, 8 and 8 corners. Notably they notched 8 corners away at league leaders Lausanne when losing only 1-0. They face a similar scenario this evening (7.30 KO). Grasshoppers do not concede many, though, but at the price I thought it was worth taking 7/4 (skybet) about over 3.5 Schaffhausen corners.

There's a very rare chance to have a full array of spread bets on Austrian, Latvian and Finnish games today. Unfortunately I couldn't find enough meaningful Finnish and Latvian stats, but I do think there's a shit or bust scenario in the Austria 2 Liga in the Blau-Weiss Linz v Amstetten game. The referee is the exotically-named Safak Barmaksiz who only appears to have had one game so far in 2020 that only made up at 30. However, he has mainly officiated in Regional Leagues where I have found plenty of healthy make ups. Linz' last 3 home tallies (in their own right) were 50, 0 and 50. Visitors Amstetten's latest away tallies were 0, 30 and 10. The bookings quote is 52-56 (SX). Just in case the referee reverts to type I've had a buy of cross-bookings at 800 (SX). I have not waited to play in running because Barmaksiz tends to get going early when he is in the mood with his last couple of Regional games revealing cards in the 11th and 7th minutes.

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by peanut » Tue Jul 21, 2020 4:48 pm

Aston Villa v Arsenal 20:15

Granit Xhaka to be carded
Jack Grealish to be carded
double @ 11.00 hill

Zhaka has been carded 9 times this season and is not shy of kicking out.
Grealish has been carded 8 times this season and with the prospect of his beloved Villa going down he will be fired up , especially if they go behind.

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by harry_rag » Tue Jul 21, 2020 4:59 pm

Taken the Fred special of 9/4 anytime De Bruyne for the tenner allowed.

Ref loves a pen in the Atalanta game so bought pen goal minutes at 21 with SPIN. Doubled that game and the one at Sporting Lisbon for 4-6 cards at 11/10 and 21/20.

Good luck guys.

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by peanut » Wed Jul 22, 2020 3:01 pm

Liverpool v Chelsea 20:15

Liverpool Over 11.5 free kicks
@ 2.0 b3

Gave away 19 against United last game and with offsides counting with b3 should do this with ease.
Famous last words and all that :lol

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by peanut » Thu Jul 23, 2020 12:25 pm

Akranes v Stjarnan 17:00 ( Iceland )
10 out of the last 11 games involving either team have gone over 2.5

Kopavogur v Breidablik 21:15 ( Iceland )
9 out of the last 10 games involving either team have gone over 2.5

Btts & Over 2.5 double @ 3.00

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by peanut » Fri Jul 24, 2020 5:08 pm

PSG v St. Etienne 20:10

Neymar to be booked
Neymar to score
@ 6.12 pp

Booking average of 33% and sure to get a kick or two to stir him up. The scoring speaks for itself :)

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by nick » Fri Jul 24, 2020 5:52 pm

peanut wrote:
Fri Jul 24, 2020 5:08 pm
PSG v St. Etienne 20:10

Neymar to be booked
Neymar to score
@ 6.12 pp

Booking average of 33% and sure to get a kick or two to stir him up. The scoring speaks for itself :)
I think that's a decent bet, Peanut :thumbs . I've looked at all sorts of options for this Cup Final. In the end I feel bookings may have been underestimated and have gone for a straight buy of bookings at 40 (SPIN). [Neymar to be booked and then pick up a 2nd yellow after he's scored would do me nicely ;-) ].

It's only 10 mins to KO but the penalty stats for Antalyaspor v Galatasaray are compelling. 11 awarded in 14 matches for the referee. Each side's last 5 games have witnessed 8 penalties given (4 apiece). I don't think there's that much riding on the game so hopefully it will be pretty attacking and carefree. I've bought Penalty Performance at 9 (SPIN).

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by harry_rag » Sat Jul 25, 2020 11:20 am

nick wrote:
Fri Jul 24, 2020 5:52 pm
peanut wrote:
Fri Jul 24, 2020 5:08 pm
PSG v St. Etienne 20:10

Neymar to be booked
Neymar to score
@ 6.12 pp

Booking average of 33% and sure to get a kick or two to stir him up. The scoring speaks for itself :)
I think that's a decent bet, Peanut :thumbs . I've looked at all sorts of options for this Cup Final. In the end I feel bookings may have been underestimated and have gone for a straight buy of bookings at 40 (SPIN). [Neymar to be booked and then pick up a 2nd yellow after he's scored would do me nicely ;-) ].

It's only 10 mins to KO but the penalty stats for Antalyaspor v Galatasaray are compelling. 11 awarded in 14 matches for the referee. Each side's last 5 games have witnessed 8 penalties given (4 apiece). I don't think there's that much riding on the game so hopefully it will be pretty attacking and carefree. I've bought Penalty Performance at 9 (SPIN).
:thumbs Well done with those two Nick, bookings make up at 115 in France and pen performance at 25 in Turkey.

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by nick » Sat Jul 25, 2020 12:04 pm

:cheers Harry. A very pleasant, profit-induced, wine inebriated evening :) .

Had a little daft treble in the Turkish League today that pays just under 50/1. There are 3 teams against sides with nothing to play for and for whom a draw would suffice. I'm not sure whether this is of Serie B standards but for a lazy fiver I've backed this DRAW treble:

Fenerbahce v Rizespor 9/4
Denizlispor v Ankaragucu 3/1
Kayserispor v Trabzonspor 27/10

There are two MUST WIN sides in Yeni Malatyaspor and Sivasspor. Haven't decided how or whether to bet in their games yet.

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by peanut » Sat Jul 25, 2020 12:13 pm

Nick :thumbs

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by harry_rag » Sat Jul 25, 2020 3:26 pm

Notts County v Barnet: Roberts anytime 7/2 PP (10/3 Lads and others)

Looks decent at anything bigger than 3s, though not much "recent" form to go on!

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by harry_rag » Sat Jul 25, 2020 5:55 pm

harry_rag wrote:
Sat Jul 25, 2020 3:26 pm
Notts County v Barnet: Roberts anytime 7/2 PP (10/3 Lads and others)

Looks decent at anything bigger than 3s, though not much "recent" form to go on!
:cheers "Went off" at 4/1!

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