Football for the season 2019-20

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harry_rag
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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by harry_rag » Tue Jul 14, 2020 2:37 pm

:) Where was that 7/4 you mentioned by the way? Might be best option now you've driven the spread up to 3.25 at best!

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peanut
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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by peanut » Tue Jul 14, 2020 2:56 pm

Basel v Zurich

Had a look earlier Nick but could not find any odds ,they know you know :lol

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harry_rag
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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by harry_rag » Tue Jul 14, 2020 2:59 pm

Yep, can't find any prices either. Best for Vaduz >3.5 seems to be 13/8 PP now.

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nick
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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by nick » Tue Jul 14, 2020 2:59 pm

harry_rag wrote:
Tue Jul 14, 2020 2:37 pm
:) Where was that 7/4 you mentioned by the way? Might be best option now you've driven the spread up to 3.25 at best!
Unibet.

I did consider the combi bet of over 4.5 match goals and Vaduz to win at 9/5 (SX). However, I've always had a bit of inbuilt "keep it simple" mentality and aversion to linked outcomes.

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harry_rag
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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by harry_rag » Tue Jul 14, 2020 3:28 pm

:thumbs Been cut then. On the 13/8 for an "interest" (had just over £8 balance but wasn't allowed that much on)! 8(:

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by harry_rag » Tue Jul 14, 2020 4:51 pm

Bought Fletcher’s goal mins for Boro at 14 with SPIN who don’t seem to have revisited their prices after the line ups were announced. He’s what you might euphemistically call “a bit bigger” elsewhere!

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peanut
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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by peanut » Tue Jul 14, 2020 5:33 pm

Sheffield Wednesday v Huddersfield 19:45

A Penalty Taken @ 11/4 sky

Ref penalties per game ratio is 29% .
Teams have been awarded a penalty in 32% of their last 43 games combined.

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by nick » Wed Jul 15, 2020 10:02 am

Well done with Fletcher, Harry :thumbs :thumbs .

I must have been cuckoo :> to back a team in a Swiss League that plays in Liechtenstein *, .

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by peanut » Wed Jul 15, 2020 11:29 am

Birmingham v Charlton 18:00

20+ Birmingham booking points @ 1/1

Brum have had 20+ in 6 of the last 7 games and ref has given 14 cards in last 3 games. sky

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nick
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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by nick » Wed Jul 15, 2020 12:33 pm

There a rare chance to have a spread bet in the Russian League today in the 2 pm fixture between Ural v Arsenal Tula. Generally I have noticed some mental bookings make ups in Russia. However, these teams are mid-table and may have little to play for. In Ural's last 2 home games they picked up 30 and 85 bookings points. That was outdone by their visitors today who collected 95 and 50 points in their own right in their previous away games.

The referee is Nikolay Voloshin who is generally not a great bet for bookings, although his last 2 league games saw make ups of 110 and 70. This could quite possibly end up with a 20, but if things do get feisty the bookings quote of 34-38 could be generous. I've actually had a dabble at cross-bookings where the reward would escalate the more (or if) it takes off.

Ural v Arsenal Tula BUY cross-bookings at 370 (SX).

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harry_rag
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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by harry_rag » Wed Jul 15, 2020 1:24 pm

Good luck Nick. Just looked at in running after 24 minutes and it's 1-0 to the visitors with no cards shown yet the prices are up to 40 for bookings and 415 for cross-bookings!

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by harry_rag » Wed Jul 15, 2020 1:38 pm

No cards at Atalanta last night sunk a double on that game and tonight's at Udinese. There are 6 today in total, including that Udinese game, so might as well keep it simple and do the 3 doubles as per usual.

15 point double on 4-6 cards in the games at Sampdoria and Lecce (both 11/10)

15 point double on 4-6 cards in the games at Roma and Udinese (both 11/10)

15 point double on 4-6 cards in the games at Braga (21/20) and Porto (6/5)

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by harry_rag » Wed Jul 15, 2020 3:00 pm

harry_rag wrote:
Wed Jul 15, 2020 1:24 pm
Good luck Nick. Just looked at in running after 24 minutes and it's 1-0 to the visitors with no cards shown yet the prices are up to 40 for bookings and 415 for cross-bookings!
8(: Just my luck to see this one after kick-off, consider following in running and be but off by an increased price despite no cards. 10 yellows for a make up of 2,100 and a profit of 1730 times stake.

Well done Nick. :thumbs

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by nick » Wed Jul 15, 2020 3:13 pm

Cheers, Harry :) . 10 yellows very nice, as you say profit was 1730 points (2100 minus 370 buy price). :) :) .

The Spartak Moscow game has just kicked off with SX a bit wiser to this one. Opening bookings price 60 and cross-bookings 925. Will monitor in running since last two Spartak home make ups were 55 and 40 with last two Grozny away make ups 50 and 40. Ref's latest sequence 60, 150, 50, 50, 60.

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by peanut » Wed Jul 15, 2020 3:24 pm

Nice one Nick :thumbs

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by peanut » Wed Jul 15, 2020 3:31 pm

Roma v Verona 20:45

Red Card @ 3/1

Ref has given a red in 33% games and averages 5.75 cards a game.

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by peanut » Wed Jul 15, 2020 3:38 pm

Brentford v Preston 17:00

Penalty taken @ 3/1 hill

Preston the penalty kings in the championship, scored 10.

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by nick » Wed Jul 15, 2020 3:47 pm

Despite the 0-0 Spartak scoreline there has been plenty of activity. Have had a small in running cross bookings buy at 755 with 1 yellow on the board. Ref has been fairly lenient so far with a few borderline challenges that may cross the border as the game progresses. A goal would definitely spark thing up even more.

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by peanut » Wed Jul 15, 2020 7:55 pm

peanut wrote:
Wed Jul 15, 2020 11:29 am
Birmingham v Charlton 18:00

20+ Birmingham booking points @ 1/1

Brum have had 20+ in 6 of the last 7 games and ref has given 14 cards in last 3 games. sky
:thumbs

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by peanut » Thu Jul 16, 2020 6:44 am

No joy with the penalty or red card :( :(

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by harry_rag » Thu Jul 16, 2020 1:25 pm

harry_rag wrote:
Wed Jul 15, 2020 1:38 pm
No cards at Atalanta last night sunk a double on that game and tonight's at Udinese. There are 6 today in total, including that Udinese game, so might as well keep it simple and do the 3 doubles as per usual.

15 point double on 4-6 cards in the games at Sampdoria and Lecce (both 11/10)

15 point double on 4-6 cards in the games at Roma and Udinese (both 11/10)

15 point double on 4-6 cards in the games at Braga (21/20) and Porto (6/5)
The Portuguese double won, both the Italian pairings went 1-1. Modest profit on the doubles, singles would have just done better with 4 out of 7 selections obliging (Udinese used in 2 different doubles).

4 selections today so playing as 2 doubles as usual.

15 point double on 4-6 cards in the games at Bilbao (23/20) and Leganes (6/5)

15 point double on 4-6 cards in the games at Betis (11/10) and Torino (23/20)

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by nick » Thu Jul 16, 2020 2:31 pm

Hard to find anything away from the main leagues, except perhaps something in Norway.

Sarpsborg started the season with 5 straight defeats but seem to have turned that around with consecutive wins. This afternoon (5 pm) they visit Stabaek who are on a topsy turvy streak of win loss win loss after a pair of opening draws. Today their sequence signals a home defeat (if only it were that simple).

What I have noticed is that Stabaek conceded 17 corners in their last two home games (11 and 6). Three matches ago (the last of their league defeats) Sarpsborg gained 13 corners and they gained 6 in their last game. Assuming they have genuinely turned the corner, Sarpsborg may go out very positively to climb away from the relegation zone. It's probably one to monitor in running, but I've had a couple of modest plays on the spreads.

Stabaek v Sarpsborg BUY Sarpsborg corners at 4.7 and BUY Sarpsborg corners squared at 28 (SX)

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by peanut » Thu Jul 16, 2020 5:24 pm

Torino v Genoa 18:30

Red card @ 11/4

Ref is high on reds in this relegation battle :)

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by nick » Thu Jul 16, 2020 6:01 pm

5 Sarpsborg corners.

Kris Zachariessen a big price at 17/4 (SX) to score for Rosenborg at Start. Has scored in last 2 games and seems to get on target in bursts.

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by harry_rag » Thu Jul 16, 2020 8:12 pm

harry_rag wrote:
Thu Jul 16, 2020 1:25 pm
4 selections today so playing as 2 doubles as usual.

15 point double on 4-6 cards in the games at Bilbao (23/20) and Leganes (6/5)

15 point double on 4-6 cards in the games at Betis (11/10) and Torino (23/20)


Bilbao and Mallorca! Bilbao are playing Leganes! :>

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by harry_rag » Fri Jul 17, 2020 12:07 pm

harry_rag wrote:
Thu Jul 16, 2020 8:12 pm
harry_rag wrote:
Thu Jul 16, 2020 1:25 pm
4 selections today so playing as 2 doubles as usual.

15 point double on 4-6 cards in the games at Bilbao (23/20) and Leganes (6/5)

15 point double on 4-6 cards in the games at Betis (11/10) and Torino (23/20)


Bilbao and Mallorca! Bilbao are playing Leganes! :>


Winners at Bilbao and Torino so doubles strike out but singles would've made for a small profit.

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by peanut » Sat Jul 18, 2020 6:19 am

Hull v Luton 15:00

20+ Luton Town booking points
@ 10/11 sky

Luton have had at least 2 cards in 63% of away games ( 14 from 22 ).
Ref has shown 6,1,3,4 in four games since restart.
A relegation dog fight should be quite feisty. :)

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by peanut » Sat Jul 18, 2020 1:46 pm

Hull v Luton 15:00

Glen Rea - To Be Booked
George Honeyman - To Be Booked
double @ 23.96 pp

Rea booked in 50% of games
Honeyman only 25% but 3 in the last 3 games

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by harry_rag » Sat Jul 18, 2020 1:53 pm

harry_rag wrote:
Tue Jul 14, 2020 4:51 pm
Bought Fletcher’s goal mins for Boro at 14 with SPIN who don’t seem to have revisited their prices after the line ups were announced. He’s what you might euphemistically call “a bit bigger” elsewhere!
Deja vu, go again at 11 today. No Assombalonga again and he's "a bit bigger" again elsewhere.

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by harry_rag » Sat Jul 18, 2020 2:23 pm

4 selections (could be one more yet) for 2 doubles today.

15 point double on 4-6 cards in the games at Galatasaray (11/10) and Wisla Krakow (21/20)

15 point double on 4-6 cards in the games at Milan and Famalicao (both 11/10)

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