Football for the season 2019-20

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peanut
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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by peanut » Sat Jul 11, 2020 1:26 pm

peanut wrote:
Sat Jul 11, 2020 10:47 am
Norwich v West Ham 12:30

Emiliano Buendia anytime goalscorer @ 17/2
:(

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peanut
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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by peanut » Sat Jul 11, 2020 1:28 pm

Liverpool v Burnley 15:00

Neco Williams to be booked @ 12/1

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by peanut » Sat Jul 11, 2020 1:30 pm

Liverpool v Burnley 15:00

Liverpool over 0.5 cards @ 10/11

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by peanut » Sat Jul 11, 2020 1:33 pm

QPR v Sheff Wed 15:00

Over 4 corners Sheff Wed
Over 7 corners in match
@ 1.83 b3 builder

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by peanut » Sat Jul 11, 2020 1:35 pm

Blackburn Rovers v WBA 15:00

Over 2.5 goals @ 1/1 pp

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by peanut » Sat Jul 11, 2020 3:29 pm

peanut wrote:
Sat Jul 11, 2020 1:28 pm
Liverpool v Burnley 15:00

Neco Williams to be booked @ 12/1
:( :( subbed

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peanut
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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by peanut » Sat Jul 11, 2020 3:41 pm

peanut wrote:
Sat Jul 11, 2020 1:30 pm
Liverpool v Burnley 15:00

Liverpool over 0.5 cards @ 10/11
:thumbs

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peanut
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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by peanut » Sat Jul 11, 2020 3:56 pm

peanut wrote:
Sat Jul 11, 2020 1:33 pm
QPR v Sheff Wed 15:00

Over 4 corners Sheff Wed :( 4
Over 7 corners in match 11
@ 1.83 b3 builder
:(

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peanut
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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by peanut » Sat Jul 11, 2020 3:56 pm

peanut wrote:
Sat Jul 11, 2020 1:35 pm
Blackburn Rovers v WBA 15:00

Over 2.5 goals @ 1/1 pp
1-1 :(

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harry_rag
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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by harry_rag » Sun Jul 12, 2020 12:23 pm

Didn't post the 2 4-6 cards selections yesterday but both Friday and Saturday saw one winner from two so the doubles lost whereas the singles would have shown a small profit.

8 selections today (so far, could be a couple more) for 4 x 15 point doubles on 4-6 cards shown. One in Spain, 2 in Turkey and the rest in Italy.

The games at Leganes (11/10) and Genoa (23/20)

The games at Ankaragucu (23/20) and Fenerbahce (6/5)

The games at Cagliari and Parma (both 11/10)

The games at Udinese (21/20) and Napoli (11/10)

The rationale is essentially that the spread price implies a better than 50% chance that the game will see between 4-6 cards shown, something supported by a sample of around 200 games.

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by harry_rag » Sun Jul 12, 2020 1:04 pm

One more double, in Belarus and Italy.

The games at Energetik (11/10) and Fiorentina (21/20)

Bought pen goal mins in the Belarus game at 17 with SX, Tsinkevich being a decent ref appointment for pens.

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by peanut » Sun Jul 12, 2020 1:16 pm

Villa v C Palace 14:15

Ezri Konsa to be booked @ 9/2

Up againts Zaha :v:

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by peanut » Sun Jul 12, 2020 2:07 pm

Genoa v Spal 16:15
Red card @ 5/2

Parma v Bologna
Red card @ 2.75

I have done the double @ 12/1 as well :)

Both refs like a red card ,both into double figures this season :v:

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by peanut » Sun Jul 12, 2020 3:18 pm

peanut wrote:
Sun Jul 12, 2020 1:16 pm
Villa v C Palace 14:15

Ezri Konsa to be booked @ 9/2

Up againts Zaha :v:
A Quote from FlashScore
" 90+4' Ezri Konsa (Aston Villa) carelessly slides into the feet of his opponent and he'll be lucky to avoid punishment. Martin Atkinson blows for the foul but keeps his cards in his pocket on this occasion."
*, :(

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by harry_rag » Sun Jul 12, 2020 3:24 pm

9 goals in Belarus but not a pen among them. Oh, and just a solitary card as well. *,

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by harry_rag » Mon Jul 13, 2020 10:58 am

At least the cards bets did ok!

6 winners from 10 selections for 2 winning doubles. Could've been better with 3 doubles or worse with just one so reasonable luck.

75 points returns 135.53 points for a profit of 60.53 points. If staked as 7.5 point singles the return would have been 94.88 points so doubles trumps singles again (has done so every day there's been more than 2 selections).

Across the 5 days of betting this way there have been 19 winning selections from 30 giving 5 winning doubles from 15. 225 points return 330.95 for a profit of 105.95 points. Singles would have returned 298.51 points so doubles doing better so far.

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by peanut » Mon Jul 13, 2020 11:40 am

Inter Milan vs Torino 20:45

Inter to score a penalty @ 10/3
Torino to score a penalty @ 9/1

Ref D Massa has awarded 14 from the 16 games

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by nick » Mon Jul 13, 2020 11:45 am

peanut wrote:
Mon Jul 13, 2020 11:40 am
Inter Milan vs Torino 20:45

Inter to score a penalty @ 10/3
Torino to score a penalty @ 9/1

Ref D Massa has awarded 14 from the 16 games
:) Have literally just bet penalty to be awarded at 13/8 Hills (buttons allowed) and 31/20 Unibet. I only found 13 in 16 Serie A games for Davide Massa, but 8 in last 7. There have been 4 penalties awarded in Inter's last 5 matches and 3 in Torino's. What can go wrong? :lol

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by peanut » Mon Jul 13, 2020 12:11 pm

Also 5 in 3 since the restart :v:
A certainty no :lol

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by peanut » Mon Jul 13, 2020 12:19 pm

Granada vs Real Madrid 21:00

Mardid should win yes...
Madrid average the 2nd most corners yes...
Granada average 4th most cards (100 in 30 games)yes...

Result 90 Minutes RM =Team With Most Corners 90 Minutes RM =Team With Most 90 Minutes Cards GRA
@ 11/2 hill

Sounds good ? Hopefully :)

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by harry_rag » Mon Jul 13, 2020 12:59 pm

harry_rag wrote:
Wed Jul 08, 2020 4:17 pm
A bit late now but ref Meler in Turkey one to keep an eye on. 3 1st half pens in the game at Trabzonspor! *,
Handles the game at Kayserispor today but, unfortunately, I can only find any pen prices with 365 (9/2 and 9/1 for each team to score one) and they aren't exactly letting me go large! Worth a glance if you can get on.

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by harry_rag » Mon Jul 13, 2020 1:02 pm

nick wrote:
Mon Jul 13, 2020 11:45 am
peanut wrote:
Mon Jul 13, 2020 11:40 am
Inter Milan vs Torino 20:45

Inter to score a penalty @ 10/3
Torino to score a penalty @ 9/1

Ref D Massa has awarded 14 from the 16 games
:) Have literally just bet penalty to be awarded at 13/8 Hills (buttons allowed) and 31/20 Unibet. I only found 13 in 16 Serie A games for Davide Massa, but 8 in last 7. There have been 4 penalties awarded in Inter's last 5 matches and 3 in Torino's. What can go wrong? :lol
Could be worse, I could follow. Oh... :lol

Had a bit of all those plus a buy of pen goal mins at the general 22.

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by harry_rag » Mon Jul 13, 2020 4:40 pm

Just the 2 qualifying selections today (1 each in Italy and Portugal) so you know what to do (back them as singles)! :)

15 point double on 4-6 cards in the games at Inter (11/10) and Setubal (23/20).

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by nick » Mon Jul 13, 2020 5:56 pm

I do like the prospect of penalties in the upcoming Denizlispor v Trabzonspor game (7.00). Hills persist in only offering me £2.86 on a 7/4 shot for a penalty to be taken, so the spreads it has to be. Neither the home side nor the referee look over-promising for penalties, but there have been 8 penalties awarded in Trabzonspor's last 5 matches.

Given the respective league positions of the teams I suspect the away side will threaten loads in Deniz penalty area. Their penalty taker is Jose Sosa, and I've split stakes between buying his goal mins at 16 and SMM at 23. I'll probably regret not buying Pen GM's at 18 :> .

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by harry_rag » Mon Jul 13, 2020 7:31 pm

Ramos back for Real Madrid tonight, 3/1 PP is palatable enough, got 4.5 on BF.

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by harry_rag » Tue Jul 14, 2020 11:26 am

Wall to wall losers for me yesterday! *,

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peanut
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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by peanut » Tue Jul 14, 2020 12:11 pm

Snap :lol

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by nick » Tue Jul 14, 2020 1:32 pm

Had a look in the Swiss Challenge League where there has been plenty of goals since resumption. In particular Vaduz v Aarau holds the prospect of a high-scoring affair. Vaduz last 5 games have witnessed 26 goals with Vaduz scoring 17 of them whilst Aarau's last 5 have had 30 goals with them conceding 17.

There seems to be little for the mid-table away side to play for, but plenty riding on the game for Vaduz. I've seen best priced 7/4 for Vaduz to score over 3.5 goals, but I've decided to go with the spreads with a buy of Vaduz goals at 3.05 (SPIN).

[On Saturday Basel v Zurich had to be postponed because of a Zurich player testing positive for coronavirus. The game was called off but is being played tonight despite several of the Zurich squad being quarantined. I have tried to find any market to have a bet on Basel but to no avail. If anyone (of course by that I mean Harry or Peanut :x: ) can find anything, please post it.]

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by harry_rag » Tue Jul 14, 2020 2:25 pm

:thumbs I'll have a look now I've finished researching and purchasing re-usable face masks! {8

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Re: Football for the season 2019-20

Post by nick » Tue Jul 14, 2020 2:34 pm

harry_rag wrote:
Tue Jul 14, 2020 2:25 pm
:thumbs I'll have a look now I've finished researching and purchasing re-usable face masks! {8
Pack yer pawns and yer rooks away and do something useful :lol ;x; .

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