Daily Racing Thread 27th July- 02nd Aug

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PlaceWinner
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Re: Daily Racing Thread 27th July- 02nd Aug

Post by PlaceWinner » Thu Jul 30, 2020 12:26 pm

PlaceWinner wrote:
Thu Jul 30, 2020 10:20 am
Tracker horse of mine runs in the first race at Goodwood: Newyorkstateofmind

Tough handicap but has a each way chance at BOG 20-1
Game run to finish 2nd
"This will not be beaten"

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The Fenman
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Re: Daily Racing Thread 27th July- 02nd Aug

Post by The Fenman » Thu Jul 30, 2020 4:56 pm

5.30 Musselburgh

ECONOMIC CRISIS (5.30) has been a wonderful servant to owner Willie Burns and the old girl should go well from a perfect rails pitch in this Class 6 sprint. He ran his usual honest race when fifth to Gowanbuster (runs 6.30) over course and distance last time and this is easier.


:cheers :cheers hoofstar :x:
Keep doing right things, right things happen. . . Simple innit

freebooter
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Re: Daily Racing Thread 27th July- 02nd Aug

Post by freebooter » Thu Jul 30, 2020 6:13 pm

Tomorrows four on the AW


Kingsman Spirit - 5.35 10/1
Masquerade Bling - 7.05 Wolv 16/1
Latin Knight - 7.35 Wolv 8/1
Mobham - 8.25 Lin 22/1

Brief write up shortly

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Re: Daily Racing Thread 27th July- 02nd Aug

Post by freebooter » Thu Jul 30, 2020 6:31 pm

Kingsman Spirit - 5.35 10/1

Kingsman ran here in a Novice in Nov beaten three lengths, first 4 home all rated in 70's & 80's so catches the eye off 54, Pushkin Museum will be winning at some stage when everything falls right.

Masquerade Bling - 7.05 Wolv 16/1

Last win was here off 59, last time over C & D was third off 58, on second run back after lay off here off 50

Latin Knight
- 7.35 Wolv 8/1

Think it will stay & doubt surface will be a problem & claimer does well for the trainer.

Mobham - 8.25 Lin 22/1

Poor last time but loves the 12 furlongs round here its 7lb lower than last run with claimer up, a decent ew shout.


Big Hcp tomorrow at Goodwood 2.45 Vale Of Kent 8/1 is a different horse on fast ground, second last year, tough race with its mark but has to go close with conditions to suit.

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PlaceWinner
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Re: Daily Racing Thread 27th July- 02nd Aug

Post by PlaceWinner » Thu Jul 30, 2020 8:19 pm

PlaceWinner wrote:
Wed Jul 29, 2020 7:42 pm
Thursday

Two early birds for the late meeting at Musselburgh

5.30-Obee Joe @ 9-1..last run suggested a drop in tip is needed
9.00-Sioux Frontier @ 9-1..won on only run here

Both each way plus the ew double
Both unplaced *,
"This will not be beaten"

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PlaceWinner
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Re: Daily Racing Thread 27th July- 02nd Aug

Post by PlaceWinner » Thu Jul 30, 2020 8:21 pm

Interesting gamble going on in the 1.25 Pontefract tomorrow on Musharrif

Despite not being in the top 5 "Most popular bets" on Oddschecker the horse is now 15-2 from 14-1!
"This will not be beaten"

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PlaceWinner
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Re: Daily Racing Thread 27th July- 02nd Aug

Post by PlaceWinner » Fri Jul 31, 2020 4:56 am

Morning All

2.55 Pontefract-Blue Beirut @ 5-1 [Bet 365] BOG

From a stable I like to keep on the right side of
"This will not be beaten"

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Col
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Re: Daily Racing Thread 27th July- 02nd Aug

Post by Col » Fri Jul 31, 2020 5:47 am

Morning lads :)

Two from the tracker

Livelovelaugh - (Galway, 19:15)
freebooter 12/03/2020
Useful chaser. Eleven runs since last win in 2018. 16/1, respectable sixth of 25 in handicap chase at this C&D (good to soft) 2 days ago.

Sharp Reply - (Wolverhampton, 19:35)
Placewinner 25/05/2018
Respectable sixth of 10 in handicap at Salisbury (12f, good to firm, 12/1) 20 days ago, slowly away. Others more persuasive.

Hoofhearted
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Re: Daily Racing Thread 27th July- 02nd Aug

Post by Hoofhearted » Fri Jul 31, 2020 6:10 am

3 winners from the 5 put up,yesterday

Here are his selections today
MONTATHAM (2.45) has become a better horse for being gelded and the William Haggas-trained grey should run a stormer in the competitive Unibet Golden Mile.

He ran Dark Vision close in the Royal Hunt Cup but turned the tables, albeit narrowly, in a re-match at Sandown. Dark Vision has won since at Listed level off 109 and that form line is rock solid. Montatham scored easily on fast ground at Newmarket on his return, so underfoot conditions are probably ideal. A bigger headache is stall 15, so Jim Crowley will need his wits about him.

Prompting remains at the right end of the weights, despite two eye-catching victories at Ayr and York, and David O’Meara has booked Henry Bentley to do a fairly light weight. Prompting is due to go up another 6lb in future, so is well treated if he can find a clear passage from stall two.

There should be plenty of pace with the likes of Mark Johnston’s course specialist Vale Of Kent, runner-up 12 months ago from a very wide post position, certain to be in the vanguard. Sir Busker has been in excellent form and is just one other to consider in the 15-runner field. Some firms are paying four places each-way.

Haggas tqrains another fancied runner, One Master, in the Group 3 Oak Tree Stakes and she is likely to be sent off favourite after running fourth to Nazeef at Newmarket. Stall one is a plum pitch in theory but it is often more difficult in practise as the runners concertina in the straight. BREATHTAKING LOOK (1.45) races prominently and could well miss any scrimmaging. She comes into the race in fine form, going down to Queen Jo Jo in a tight finish at York 12 days ago. Breathtaking Look thumped Agincourt by three lengths at Newmarket last summer and should confirm places on 6lb worse terms.

I'm pretty sweet on HIGHWAYGREY (2.25) in the 1m 2f handicap at Pontefract. Tim Easterby's gelding produced a career best to trounce some progressive southern-trained three-year-olds over course and distance eight days ago. he was held up off a strong gallop and there should be a similar scenario with habitual front-runner Michele Strogoff likely to ensure an honest gallop. A 5lb penalty makes things a bit harder but Highwaygrey can take care of El Picador, unlucky when denied racing room at Beverley, and top weight Sudona.

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Col
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Re: Daily Racing Thread 27th July- 02nd Aug

Post by Col » Fri Jul 31, 2020 6:25 am

3 winners from the 5 put up,yesterday
Nice one mate :thumbs

WoodyG
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Re: Daily Racing Thread 27th July- 02nd Aug

Post by WoodyG » Fri Jul 31, 2020 6:34 am

Some Excellent tipping here '#
Boots, Sec, Hoof, Placey, Alan
Well done all and thank you for taking your time to share :thumbs

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FlyingBenny
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Re: Daily Racing Thread 27th July- 02nd Aug

Post by FlyingBenny » Fri Jul 31, 2020 6:41 am

The Khaloosy (2.15), Battaash (3.15) and Maria Rosa (6.05) treble currently pays just over 2/1 with Paddy.

Mug bet or easy money?
“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it ... he who doesn't ... pays it.” Albert Einstein. Each way trebles it is then!

Secretariat
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Re: Daily Racing Thread 27th July- 02nd Aug

Post by Secretariat » Fri Jul 31, 2020 8:00 am

From DANIEL HARROLD

Unfortunately the write ups for today’s and tomorrow’s racing won’t be as in depth as usual due to time constraints, but I will still provide a win (and each-way where possible) selection for each Goodwood race and a reason for why I have chosen them. I hope this is ok and after a good day yesterday hopefully it can continue. Good luck!!

1:10 - A race that looked tricky and one that I didn’t really like in terms of betting. However, it was hard not to be impressed with how AL QAQAA (15/8) put the race to bed last time out and the further he went the better he looked. He looks to have a lovely big stride on him and although he’ll need to improve on that effort to deny his opening mark, there’s a fair chance he’s better than it and to me he looked the most likely winner even if his price isn’t that appealing. Mafia Power (4/1) also looked very good when winning a handicap last time out but he was raised 11lbs for that and this does look a better race against the Al Maktoum horse. Of the bigger prices perhaps Moomba (10/1) could finish runner up again to the Haggas horse but he’d need a fair step up on his form to be reversing placings.

Winner: AL QAQAA (15/8) strikes as the most likely winner.

Each-Way Thief: MOOMBA (10/1) could well follow the fav home just as he did the last day.

1:45 - This looks to revolve around whether One Master (13/8) can produce her best form on this rapidly firming ground. She ran well last time in a group one behind Nazeef over a mile and the drop back to seven furlongs is likely to suit. She would win if in top form and she likely will do just that but at her short price, with good-to-firm now in the going description, I’ll take her on with an each-way shot. Frankie Dettori has only ever ridden for Jessie Harrington twice in either Britain or Ireland and his record is 1-2. The win coming in Britain so technically he 1-1 when booked to ride her horses over in this country. Given that stat, it is surely interesting to see him booked to ride VALERIA MESSALINA (9/1). This three year old filly has a 3lb penalty after she won a group three over in Ireland last time out, travelling like the best horse before finding plenty for pressure to prevail by half a length at the line. She’ll obviously need a fair bit more in here to compete at the finish, but she could be an improving filly and the Harrington stable has really come to life in the past couple of days. She just could be worth chancing each-way against the Haggas fav. Breathtaking Look’s form over this trip needs improving on a fair bit to take this but she is in good form and the ground is perfect for her. Under The Stars and Agincourt are also not to be underestimated.

Winner: I’ll chance VALERIA MESSALINA (9/1) as an each-way shot under Frankie Dettori for red hot Jesssie Harrington.

2:15 - Pretty difficult to see past the Roger Varian trainee KHALOOSY (8/13) under Jim Crowley after his romp in the Britannia Handicap at Ascot. He has been allotted an official mark of 111 after that impressive performance and, unless he underperforms, it’s hard to see him getting beat. My Oberon (7/2) won a novice in very easy fashion last time out and could be anything but he’ll need to improve roughly 10lbs to be beating the fav if he’s in the same form as the last day.

Winner: KHALOOSY (8/13) does look very hard to beat on these terms.

2:45 - Prompting (10/3) heads the market here and it’s not hard to see why given he’s officially still 6lbs well in under just a 3lb penalty for his easy victory last time out. That was only a class 4 contest though and he steps up into a much higher grade here having his third run in just over two weeks so I’ll take him on. Sir Busker (6/1) came from a long way back last time to finish second to Motakhayyel last time but he has gone up 5lbs for that to a high mark of 108, for all that he looks to still be improving well. Montatham (13/2) has his chance and Bless Him (16/1) looks interesting at a big price, whilst it wouldn’t surprise to see one the Johnston runners pop up in here. I’ll take a flier on BALTIC BARON (18/1) thought also for David O’Meara with Jason Watson aboard. He was a staying on fifth in this same race last season off a 3lbs higher mark than today’s and he ran a blinder two starts ago when staying on strongly to finish fifth at Ascot two starts ago. His latest run was disappointing but the blinkers go on here today and if he could bounce back then he’s definitely handicapped to go well at a big price.

Winner: Going each-way on last years fifth BALTIC BARON (18/1) EACH-WAY BEST BET now he gets to run off 3lbs lower than that effort in 2019.

Each-Way Thief: BLESS HIM (16/1) is useful on his day and he could go well if the ground really firms up a lot come race time.

3:15 - Impossible to oppose the mighty Battaash here even giving the weight away. He was brilliant in the Kings Stand last time out beating the useful Equilateral and it’d be a massive upset if he wasn’t to follow up in this. He’s unbeaten in all three of his starts at this track (all of them being in this race) and he seems very suited to this five furlongs. He should rack up the four timer in this contest without too much fuss. Liberty Beach (7/1) is just a very consistent and useful filly and she looks most likely to follow home the fav.

Winner: No points for originality here but BATTASH (8/13) should make it four wins from four attempts in this race.

3:45 - Communique (5/2) has been in some good form of late and he has to be massively respected as the Johnston yards only runner in this but he may have to play second fiddle to David Simcock’s DESERT ENCOUNTER (2/1) now the ground has dried out significantly. He loves to hear his hooves rattle and won this contest in nice style last year when beating the then 116 rated Mirage Dancer. He seemed as if he was coming back to top form at just the right time in his latest race when only just behind Communique on ground that would’ve certainly been unsuitable. He should get a good pace to aim at here with both Communique and Pablo Escobarr (5/1) prominent runners so he looks to have a lot in his favour and to me that makes him the one to beat. The Haggas horse just mentioned is clearly in some good form and shouldn’t be gifted an easy time of it upfront otherwise he could be dangerous.

Winner: Hopefully DESERT ENCOUNTER (2/1) NAP can follow up his win in this corresponding race last year.

4:20 - Another race in which I’m not too keen on and wouldn’t be surprised if a few different runners won. Zamaani (7/4) is the market leader and he did win well at Windsor after running a good race when second to subsequent group winner Twaasol. He just jumped out in front there and won with plenty to spare over some inexperienced rivals. He surely won’t get that easy lead here and he takes on rivals now with much more experience in them on the track, so he may not be one to have full faith in even if he could be better than his opening mark. JULIE JOHNSTON (5/2) seemed to win with a few pounds up her sleeve the last day and she is currently 3lbs well-in on the back of that effort. She takes in better rivals here but she won readily there and it looks significant that she’s turned out quickly at a meeting her trainer does so well at. Rooster (8/1) isn’t one to give up on after his latest effort probably came too soon after a good run when a neck second to subsequent listed winner Gussy Mac. He could have improvement in him off this sort of mark.

Winner: JULIE JOHNSTON (5/2) could be tough to crack reappearing quickly under a penalty for her latest ready success.

Each-Way Thief: It could be worth giving ROOSTER (8/1) another chance to confirm the promise of his neck second to a subsequent listed winner.

4:50 - Plenty will want to take on SARSAPARILLA (5/2) but she has the best form in the race and an official mark of 76 to boot. She is yet to win in four starts and that is a little worrying but she hasn’t looked to be doing anything wrong and her RPRs are progressive. This doesn’t look the greatest of contests and given that James Doyle is booked, she looks set to go well again. She deserves to break her duck and could well do so here. Ventura Diamond (11/4) has been popular overnight and she did make a pretty promising debut at Sandown behind good group three winner Miss Jingles. She will likely improve for the step up to this trip but she’ll need to find a fair few pounds if the Godolphin horse runs to her mark. Enoughisgoodenough looks the each-way play to me in the race given she’s bred to be precocious and cost a good old whack at the sales.

Winner: SARSAPARILLA (5/2) NEXT BEST sets the standard and could now deservedly get her head in front.

Each-Way Thief: ENOUGHISGOODENOUGH (11/2) is bred to be a decent two year old and although will improve, she could go well against the fav.
You dont need eyes to see you need VISION

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Re: Daily Racing Thread 27th July- 02nd Aug

Post by freebooter » Fri Jul 31, 2020 8:09 am

Col wrote:
Fri Jul 31, 2020 5:47 am
Morning lads :)

from the tracker

Livelovelaugh - (Galway, 19:15)
freebooter 12/03/2020
Useful chaser. Eleven runs since last win in 2018. 16/1, respectable sixth of 25 in handicap chase at this C&D (good to soft) 2 days ago.
Livelovelaugh ran a great race in the Galway Plate two days ago, lead the whole race till approaching the last before fading, this is easier but how much has it taken out of him.


One more I have to mention at Lingers

Prince Llyr - 7.55 Lin 33/1

Asking a lot to beat the fav but with apprentice taking 7lb off ( two recent winners ) its 10lb lower than last run in the mud, consistent enough before that, don't think the trips a problem, Iv'e seen worse 33/1 shots for sure, the fixed fc with the Fav with 365 is around 44/1

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Re: Daily Racing Thread 27th July- 02nd Aug

Post by alancraik » Fri Jul 31, 2020 9:40 am

todays system selections



GOODWOOD 13:45 One Master 7/4 win

GOODWOOD 14:45 Montatham 6/1 e/w 4 Places

GOODWOOD 15:15 Battaash 1/3 win

GOODWOOD 15:45 Communique 5/2 win

plus win yankee

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PlaceWinner
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Re: Daily Racing Thread 27th July- 02nd Aug

Post by PlaceWinner » Fri Jul 31, 2020 10:45 am

Col wrote:
Fri Jul 31, 2020 5:47 am
Morning lads :)

Two from the tracker


Sharp Reply - (Wolverhampton, 19:35)
Placewinner 25/05/2018
Respectable sixth of 10 in handicap at Salisbury (12f, good to firm, 12/1) 20 days ago, slowly away. Others more persuasive.
Like the booking of Hollie Doyle..so each way @ 28-1 [Betfred]..4 places
"This will not be beaten"

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PlaceWinner
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Re: Daily Racing Thread 27th July- 02nd Aug

Post by PlaceWinner » Fri Jul 31, 2020 10:55 am

PlaceWinner wrote:
Thu Jul 30, 2020 8:21 pm
Interesting gamble going on in the 1.25 Pontefract tomorrow on Musharrif

Despite not being in the top 5 "Most popular bets" on Oddschecker the horse is now 15-2 from 14-1!
Talk about volatile, horse is now 16-1!...which I have taken each way [4 places]
"This will not be beaten"

alancraik
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Re: Daily Racing Thread 27th July- 02nd Aug

Post by alancraik » Fri Jul 31, 2020 2:55 pm

alancraik wrote:
Fri Jul 31, 2020 9:40 am
todays system selections



GOODWOOD 13:45 One Master 7/4 win 1 st 8D

GOODWOOD 14:45 Montatham 6/1 e/w 4 Places void

GOODWOOD 15:15 Battaash 1/3 win 1st 8D

GOODWOOD 15:45 Communique 5/2 win up

plus win yankee
very small profit today

freebooter
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Re: Daily Racing Thread 27th July- 02nd Aug

Post by freebooter » Fri Jul 31, 2020 4:21 pm

Horses for courses for tomorrow's sprints

Tommy G 1.50 Good - Standing dish in this race drawn on the rail, fast ground, dare I say looks a bet for nothing ew.

Atalantas Boy 3.35 Good - two from two here last the fast ground, this may be a touch too competitive but worth an ew play at 25's

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PlaceWinner
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Re: Daily Racing Thread 27th July- 02nd Aug

Post by PlaceWinner » Fri Jul 31, 2020 6:05 pm

PlaceWinner wrote:
Fri Jul 31, 2020 10:55 am
PlaceWinner wrote:
Thu Jul 30, 2020 8:21 pm
Interesting gamble going on in the 1.25 Pontefract tomorrow on Musharrif

Despite not being in the top 5 "Most popular bets" on Oddschecker the horse is now 15-2 from 14-1!
Talk about volatile, horse is now 16-1!...which I have taken each way [4 places]
Unplaced..watched the race closely and 100% a non trier :).
"This will not be beaten"

Secretariat
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Re: Daily Racing Thread 27th July- 02nd Aug

Post by Secretariat » Fri Jul 31, 2020 7:38 pm

Firstly I agree with boots about TOMMY in first at Goodwood

2 from podcast... 1 Fav and a massive 66/1 shot

315 Newmarket KATARA
345 Galway QUEEN AMIDALA 66/1

Good luck all :cheers
You dont need eyes to see you need VISION

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Re: Daily Racing Thread 27th July- 02nd Aug

Post by Hoofhearted » Fri Jul 31, 2020 9:03 pm

Saturday- Tipster monitoring

A winner, 4th and a non runner Friday

Here’s Saturday’s

NAHAAR (3.35) has been topping ante-post lists for the Unibet Stewards’ Cup and is fancied to justify that market confidence on the final day of Glorious Goodwood.

William Haggas has stripped him to win five of his eight career starts and the colt comes into the race in rampant form. Nahaar laid down a solid marker when third to Chiefofchiefs in the Silver Wokingham Handicap and went on to beat Watan more than two lengths at Newbury 13 days ago, justifying strong market support in convincing fashion. Haggas has bagged this prize twice before and Nahaar looks sure to run a huge race, despite a potentially awkward draw in stall 19.
Khaadem became the third three-year-old in five years to win the race when landing a touch (4-1 fav) 12 months ago and Meraas will be fancied by many to further enhance that statistic. This big sprint has so far eluded Mark Johnston but there was plenty of confidence behind Merhaas when the improving three-year-old landed a gamble in the Scottish Stewards’ Cup at Hamilton 16 days ago.
Kimifive has a high cruising speed and will be suited by finding some cover in this big field. Joe Tuite has booked Cieren Fallon to take off 3lb and Kimifive, hampered on a couple of occasions when tenth last year, is one for each-way punters to consider, with William Hill offering seven places.
The opening Unibet Stewards’ Sprint may provide a pointer to the chances of Meraas in the big one as Jim Goldie’s Call Me Ginger chased him home at Hamilton. Goldie saddled popular Hawkeyethenoo to land the 2012 Stewards’ Cup and the Scot has a strong hand here as he also sends out a previous winner of this race in TOMMY G (1.50) and Primo’s Comet, third and fourth respectively 12 months ago from unfavourable high draws.


Tommy G ran a fine prep race at Ayr last time, finishing second to handicap snip Prompting (won yesterday), and races off a 6lb lower mark than 12 months ago. Tommy G won this handicap two years ago off an even higher rating under Silvestre De Sousa and SDS is booked again. If stall one isn’t a negative (Poyle Vinnie won last year from the same berth), it all points to Tommy G once again running a huge race.


ENBIHAAR (3.00) is banker material to repeat last year’s easy success in the Lillie Langtry Stakes.
John Gosden’s mare cruised into the lead under Crowley 12 months ago, crushing one of today’s principal rivals Manuela De Vega by an easy five lengths. Enbihaar was made favourite for her return to action at Newmarket but could never gets to grips with the front-runners. That was her first outing in 278 days and will have put her cherry-ripe for today.
Manuela De Vega has impressed since comeback, scoring twice in very pleasing fashion at Haydock on a soft surface, but if the track is riding slick it will favour Enbihaar. Aidan O’Brien’s Irish Oaks fifth Love and consistent Cabaletta don’t look good enough.


The 1m 6f Unibet Summer Handicap can fall to Sir Michael Stoute’s LAAFY (2.25), an easy Newbury winner on resumption before posting a solid second to Deja in the Old Newton Cup at Haydock.
Shailene, third last year, was given an indifferent ride at Newbury last time and should be thereabouts again along with in-form Calling The Wind.

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Re: Daily Racing Thread 27th July- 02nd Aug

Post by Secretariat » Sat Aug 01, 2020 5:36 am

Daniel Harrold

Final day of Glorious Goodwood with four races from Newmarket to boot on what is an action packed Saturday's racing. A few selections from the rest of the cards are in there too. Have a great weekend and good luck all.

Glorious Goodwood Day Five and Newmarket 1st August 2020

Goodwood:

1:50 – A solid race for the consolation of the Stewards Cup later on the card and one in which it is no surprise to see the 7/1 on offer earlier in the day for TOMMY G (7/2) soon disappear given his record in this race. He was second in it in 2017 off a four pounds higher mark, won it two years ago off a nine pounds higher mark and was third in the race last year off a six pounds higher mark. He returned to form last time out just in time for this race when a two length second to Prompting who has won both his starts since, including in a big handicap here yesterday. He was two lengths in front of the third that day and that form is clearly solid, so off only one pound higher, in a race he has gone so well in for the last two years, he hopefully has a big shout. The trainers form is a little concern given he is 0-26 in the last two weeks, however, only two of those have been favourite and many have been big prices, with a few going well too, and given this horse has been aimed at this you’d expect him to be ready. He’s also drawn away from the pace in stall one which could be a slight problem but hopefully he can overcome that and the early support is a very positive sign. Call Me Ginger (8/1) is also running for the Jim Goldie stable and he looks a big danger after he was a good staying on second to Meraas who is one of the favourites for the big race later on. Treacherous (8/1) was taking advantage of a lower turf mark when winning last time but he still has a six-pound pull with that all-weather mark so could go well again. May Remain (11/1) is also in good form and Bachelor Boy (12/1) still may have some promise.

Winner: TOMMY G (7/2) looks to be on a good mark and has a great record in the race.

Each-Way Thief: CALL ME GINGER (8/1) could also run a big race for Jim Goldie who looks to have a good hand.

2:25 – Laafy (5/2) has been in great form since returning this season, winning easily on his return before a very solid second in Old Newton Cup last time out. It seems the gelding operation has done him the world of good and he is a very solid favourite to go well once again. His mark is getting slightly high now though, running here off 101, and his only run at this track was a disappointing one so there are a couple of reservations about him at a short enough price. Themaxwecan (15/2) was disappointing last time out at Newbury but the time before that he was a staying on fourth at Ascot over this trip. He seems to want quick ground which he will get here and he looks on a fair enough mark on previous form. He may just want further than this to be at his best but he cannot be ruled out for the Johnston yard. I’ll take them on though with another one from the Johnston yard in last year’s winner KING’S ADVICE (8/1). He is 0-9 since winning this race last year but he is now four pounds lower for it this year and his listed race second behind subsequent group two winner Red Verdon showed he still retains the ability he showed last year when wining an unbelievable eight times. He gets his favoured good-to-firm ground here and his course record is 2-2 so I’m expecting this horse to bounce back to his best at a meeting his trainer really targets. Calling The Wind (8/1), Platitude (8/1) and Hochfeld (10/1) all have creditable each-way shouts.

Winner: I’m hoping that KING’S ADVICE (8/1) NAP can get back to his best form now back at a track he goes very well at and with the ground to suit.

Each-Way Thief: It’d be no surprise to see THEMAXWECAN (15/2) bouncing back to form as well for their in-form trainer.

3:00 – It really is hard to get away from the claims of ENBIHAAR (8/11) back at the race she bolted up in last season. She beat the re-opposing Manuela De Vega (4/1) with ease by five lengths last year giving her weight and given now the Gosden horse receives weight from that horse, it does seem a pretty tough task for her to win this. Ralph Beckett’s filly is clearly in great form having won both her starts to date but she was expected to the last day in a group two where she was the 1-2 fav. Enbihaar is 2-2 at this track and will relish getting back onto quicker ground as well as the step back up to 1m6f and given this could be tactical, she could just have too much pace for them. Snow (6/1) is interesting now stepping up in trip and she’d be the one I’d have a small bet on if I was forced, but she does have a fair bit to find on the ratings with the fav and I don’t feel she offers that much in the way of value.

Winner: Everything looks right for ENBIHAAR (8/11) to make it 2-2 in this race and 3-3 at the track.

3:35 – The big one of the day then and only the 28 runners so it should be relatively straight forward as it usually is of course. Nahaarr (4/1) is clearly going the right way and she has a fair bit of speed. She could be better than a handicapper and show up her rising mark of 101 but given the amount of well-handicapped horses she’ll be running against, her odds don’t appeal. Watan (8/1) reappeared with a very promising run under top-weight last time out and Meraas (13/2) is clearly an improving horse so has to be greatly respected. I tipped up SWINDLER (12/1) when he was due to run last time out in the Silver Wokingham but he refused to enter the stalls and was withdrawn at the start. He’s usually a bit awkward but he’d never shown that sort of awkwardness before and that is of course a bit of a worry. However, he was the 5/1 fav for that race at the off before being withdrawn and I’m convinced he’s on a very nice mark for a pot like this in the future given how he won two starts ago. His price of 12/1 is very fair in my opinion for a horse that could be better than a handicapper and I’ll hold my breath all the way until he hopefully goes in the stalls. Gulliver (16/1) can’t be ruled out in these big field handicaps and I wouldn’t be too surprised to see either George Bowen (33/1) or Mr Lupton (40/1) pop up in the places given they are both smart handicapper on their day now down to very nice marks. Preference would be for the former given he was a fast finishing fifth in this race in 2018 off a 14lbs higher mark than the one he runs off today.

Winner: If SWINDLER (12/1) EACH-WAY BEST BET can behave pre-race then he’d have a big shout in my opinion if getting the breaks.

Each-Way Thief: GEORGE BOWEN (33/1) could run a surprise race given he is now 14lbs lower than when fifth in this contest two years ago.

4:10 – SOCEITY LION (2/1) was a non-runner the other day probably on account of the ground but he lines up in here now guaranteed to get fast ground. He was very unlucky not to win the last day given not only did he bump into an in-form rival but he also had to go very wide to make his challenge which likely cost him the race. The front two pulled just over a couple of lengths clear of the third that day and the form is working out very well. The winner went on to be a close third next time out after being raised 6lbs, the third was a head second off a 2lb higher mark, the fourth has since won comfortably off the same mark and even the sixth placed horse went and won as well on his next start. He quickened up well when asked that day and it’ll be really disappointing if he wasn’t better than his 5lbs higher mark of 91. I’m expecting him to go very well under Ryan Moore. Mister Snowdon (7/2) is a clear danger but it was disappointing that he couldn’t win his latest race after he travelled so well and didn’t find a great deal, that’d be an obvious worry. Cold Front (11/2) could be more of a danger after he bolted up last time out in a novice. He will need more here in a much tougher race off an opening mark of 91 but he has potential and could go close for an in-form team. He is by Lope De Vega so the good-to-firm ground would be an obvious worry. Tomfre (8/1) is now back competing against his own age so he could go well at an each-way price.

Winner: I’m hoping for a big run from SOCIETY LION (2/1) NEXT BEST under in-form jockey Ryan Moore.

Each-Way Thief: Now back against his own age group, TOMFRE (8/1) could again reward each-way backers.

Newmarket:

2:05 – I like the look of SHE’S SO NICE (9/4) in this contest and I’m hoping she can defy top-weight on her nursery debut to win this. She was favourite for the race when a good second to subsequent group two second Hala Hala Hala before going on to win in good style last time out on her second start. That looked a nice race at the time and the second, fourth, fifth and sixth have all franked the form since, something which points to Karl Burke’s filly being possibly useful. She’s a worthy favourite in my opinion and I think a mark of 82 could underestimate her by a fair way. Famille Rose (5/2) is the obvious danger and although she could be better than her mark too, she was beaten at 6/5 fav last time out in a five runner race in which the form hasn’t exactly worked out up to this point. The form from most of these is not that great, apart from the fav, but Mahale (11/2) has shown signs that she’s pretty decent on her day and she could be the one for the forecast or each-way plays.

Winner: I’ll be pretty disappointed if SHE’S SO NICE (9/4) can’t take this off a mark of 82 given the strength of her form so far.

2:40 – This isn’t the easiest of races but one in which I’ll be taking the favourite on here in Baashir (9/4). He is obviously 1-2 in his career so far after winning comfortably last time out but the form hasn’t exactly worked out well and his opening mark of 86 is certainly no gimme. He could very well improve given his connections but I’d be more inclined to think that KARIBANA (11/4) should be the fav and could be the one to beat on form. He’d been very consistent in five starts before deservedly winning by a short head last time out. On the bare form he’d seem to not have much in hand that day, however, he had to switch markedly right-handed to find space that day and made up a fair few lengths on the second inside the final furlong to get up in the style of a horse who was a fair few pounds ahead of the handicapper. The time before his win he was a half-length second to a horse that has since gone and won comfortably twice since and is now rated in the early 90’s. William Buick is booked and Richard Hughes’ runner looks to have the best form in the book. Rodin (11/2) is just a really consistent horse who is unlikely to be out the first three or four, you can set your clock by him.

Winner: I don’t think the handicapper has gotten to the bottom of KARIBANA (11/4) even with a 6lb rise for such a short distance win last time out. He’ll hopefully go well with William Buick booked.

3:15 – Usually pretty tricky these types of races but you couldn’t help be impressed with the way KATARA (5/4) put the race to bed last time out at Kempton in a fairly hot race for the grade. She looks a progressive filly and although there are a couple of nice enough types in here, she looks the one to beat. Expressionism (9/2) will appreciate the slight drop in trip after running well in a listed race last time out, she can go well but gives weight away to the 3-year-old Katara and doesn’t seem to have the same promise. Makawee (6/1) is a solid one in this grade and she could one for the each-way punters given she stays this trip well.

Winner: I’m sure connections would be pretty disappointed if KATARA (5/4) couldn’t confirm the promise of her novice rout last time out by following up in this.

3:50 – An extremely poor race even for the grade with three out of form horses and one in-form handicapper. You’d have to give the 88 rated Dubious Affair (3/1) a shot given he’s clearly improving well and is going for a five timer. He has lots to find on the ratings and if just one of these runs to their rating he’s unlikely to win but it’s a great bit of placing from connections. Moonlight Spirit (15/8) was extremely disappointing last time out and although he gets the blinkers here for the first time (Appleby 1-3 when applying them for the first time), he looks a hard one to back at his price given he has been beaten a combined 59 lengths in just two starts since returning. Vivid Diamond (6/1) would not surprise if she bounced back to form for the Johnston yard but she has only beaten one home in both her starts so far so is hard to be confident in at all. By process of elimination, WITHHOLD (2/1) does appeal to me as the most likely winner given he is most likely to run up to his mark of 108 and on previous form, he’s the best horse in the race. Oisin Murphy has picked up a nice ride here for the Charlton yard and I’d expect him to just bounce out in front and possibly not see another rival.

Winner: Not with any real confidence but WITHHOLD (2/1) gets his easiest chance to date and looks the best horse in the race on his best form.

Rest of the cards:

In the 5:10 at Goodwood, STREAK LIGHTNING (4/1) could be worth another chance for the Johnston yard after he bombed out on soft ground when well-backed for a 0-105 handicap on his return from a break. He was 2-2 before that race and is clearly thought to be better than his handicap mark of 90. Back on a much sounder surface here and dropped in grade he could be a totally different proposition, he also gets the 5lb claim of Oliver Stammers to boot. Off to Hamilton for the 5:30 and MAGICAL MAX (7/1) was 2-2 as a juvenile and he has reappeared this season in pretty decent form. His latest run can be written off given he just wasn’t suited by the seven furlongs and now back to six furlongs he could go well at a fair price. And finally, in the 7:30 at Chepstow Mark Johnston has ZABEEL STAR (5/2) dropped in trip to six furlongs. That could suit this horse very well given the way he has been racing, he’s shaped like he’s not short of speed and David Probert is a good jockey booking.
You dont need eyes to see you need VISION

Secretariat
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Re: Daily Racing Thread 27th July- 02nd Aug

Post by Secretariat » Sat Aug 01, 2020 5:38 am

freebooter wrote:
Fri Jul 31, 2020 4:21 pm
Horses for courses for tomorrow's sprints

Tommy G 1.50 Good - Standing dish in this race drawn on the rail, fast ground, dare I say looks a bet for nothing ew.

Atalantas Boy 3.35 Good - two from two here last the fast ground, this may be a touch too competitive but worth an ew play at 25's
Tommy G only 7/2 in bookies has been much bigger odds on the fair overnight... I've helped myself to pennies :cheers
You dont need eyes to see you need VISION

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Col
Site Admin
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Re: Daily Racing Thread 27th July- 02nd Aug

Post by Col » Sat Aug 01, 2020 7:21 am

Morning all :)

Two from the tracker

Open Wide - (Goodwood, 15:35)
The Fenman 20/06/2017
Ran a screamer in second in this off 3 lb higher last year, coming from a long way back having met trouble at a key stage. Not so good yet this term but no surprise to see a revival now.

Inner Circle - (Chepstow, 20:00)
freebooter 27/06/2019
11/2, creditable neck second of 9 to Man of The Sea in handicap at this C&D (good to firm) 15 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Merits consideration.

alancraik
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Re: Daily Racing Thread 27th July- 02nd Aug

Post by alancraik » Sat Aug 01, 2020 9:28 am

todays system selections



GOODWOOD 13:50 Treacherous 8/1 e/w 5 Places

GOODWOOD 14:25 Laafy 5/2 win

GOODWOOD 16:10 Tomfre 7/1 e/w 3 Places

plus e/w trixie

also

GOODWOOD 15:00 Enbihaar 4/9 win

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PlaceWinner
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Re: Daily Racing Thread 27th July- 02nd Aug

Post by PlaceWinner » Sat Aug 01, 2020 9:56 am

Morning All

1pt Patent on three Mark Johnston runners at Newmarket today

12.55-Oasis Prince @ 9-2
1.30-Freyja @ 10-1
2.05-Basilicata @ 15-2

All should like the fast conditions
"This will not be beaten"

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PlaceWinner
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Re: Daily Racing Thread 27th July- 02nd Aug

Post by PlaceWinner » Sat Aug 01, 2020 10:15 am

Sheila Lavery is a Trainer I like to note when she has runners at Galway, and her two interest me today

3.10-Chimeric..without the Fav @ 10-3
3.45-Ultra Pride @ 8-1....each-way [5 places]
"This will not be beaten"

pottsy
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Re: Daily Racing Thread 27th July- 02nd Aug

Post by pottsy » Sat Aug 01, 2020 11:40 am

One off my tracker with my note saying - "small eyecatcher 26th feb pulled hard on rail and finished ok."
Not a glowing reference but is about 20/1 so worth a little go.

8.00 chep - Onebaba @ 20/1

Another from my tracker which was an eyecatcher run before last and lto wasn't seen to best effect, imo
Has a terrible draw again but I would be kicking myself if it won and I didn't put it up
Was Aiden's horse but now his youngest son's so a good sign I think

5.15 galway - Emperor of the Sun @ 12/1

Be lucky :)

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peanut
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Re: Daily Racing Thread 27th July- 02nd Aug

Post by peanut » Sat Aug 01, 2020 12:17 pm

System bet :

Goodwood 3.35 - Angel Alexander 40/1 BOG
Ew 7 places hills
:)

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