Search found 9174 matches

by harry_rag
Thu Nov 26, 2020 5:05 pm
Forum: Rugby League / Union Betting Forum
Topic: Other Rugby Competitions
Replies: 268
Views: 13252

Re: Other Rugby Competitions

111 points loss from the last few bets, courtesy of Leinster subs running riot (-136 points). All part and parcel, can't play these bets without stepping into a puddle every now and again. One for tomorrow's early game. Hawke's Bay v Northland: Sell Hawke's Bay hotshots at 39 with SPIN (Kurt Baker, ...
by harry_rag
Wed Nov 25, 2020 10:08 pm
Forum: Football Betting Forum
Topic: Football for the season 2020-2021
Replies: 113
Views: 5488

Re: Football for the season 2020-2021

The Fenman wrote:
Wed Nov 25, 2020 7:08 pm
ALRIHT H-MAN??

Ive just backed over 10.5 corners {:( {:( {8
Unlucky mate, one short. 5 each just enough for all my bets to show a profit. :thumbs
by harry_rag
Wed Nov 25, 2020 7:14 pm
Forum: Football Betting Forum
Topic: Football for the season 2020-2021
Replies: 113
Views: 5488

Re: Football for the season 2020-2021

The Fenman wrote:
Wed Nov 25, 2020 7:08 pm
ALRIHT H-MAN??

Ive just backed over 10.5 corners {:( {:( {8
:thumbs Will do for me if the visitors can rack up at least half of them!
by harry_rag
Wed Nov 25, 2020 5:33 pm
Forum: Football Betting Forum
Topic: Football for the season 2020-2021
Replies: 113
Views: 5488

Re: Football for the season 2020-2021

Bayern v RB Salzburg: I'm going to stick to taking the Bulls by the horns, or the corners to be more precise. They consistently cover the spread in corner matches in European competitions. Main bets on the spreads: buy cross corners at 23 and Salzburg corners squared at 16, both with SPIN. (Cross co...
by harry_rag
Mon Nov 23, 2020 5:25 pm
Forum: Football Betting Forum
Topic: Football for the season 2020-2021
Replies: 113
Views: 5488

Re: Football for the season 2020-2021

Bit last minute but had a few bets on Burnley v Palace. Quite fancy Palace here given Burnley's shortage of goals but have channeled that into a bet on >1.5 away goals at 21/10 with Lads. Batshuayi up front for Palace and was interested in 5/2 for him to score anytime so happy to take 4.1 on BF. Lad...
by harry_rag
Sun Nov 22, 2020 2:16 pm
Forum: Rugby League / Union Betting Forum
Topic: Other Rugby Competitions
Replies: 268
Views: 13252

Re: Other Rugby Competitions

Ulster v Scarlets: Sell Ulster hotshots for 1.6 points at 57 with SPIN (Matt Faddes, Rob Lyttle, John Cooney, Marcell Coetzee)

Value on all the usual metrics.
by harry_rag
Sun Nov 22, 2020 2:08 pm
Forum: Rugby League / Union Betting Forum
Topic: Other Rugby Competitions
Replies: 268
Views: 13252

Re: Other Rugby Competitions

Leinster v Cardiff: Sell Leinster hotshots at 70 (Jimmy O'Brien, Cian Kelleher, Dave Kearney, Luke McGrath) and their sub try mins at 81, both with SPIN. Same hotshots are 7 points lower elsewhere which is still arguably too high. I get a true value of 56.1 for a 19.9% edge and a top end value of 61...
by harry_rag
Sun Nov 22, 2020 12:34 pm
Forum: Football Betting Forum
Topic: Football for the season 2020-2021
Replies: 113
Views: 5488

Re: Football for the season 2020-2021

Best bet for this new Premier League season is Top Manchester United Scorer- Bruno Fernandes @ 5-1 [Bet 365] Helped the red devils to finish last season strong with 8 goals in only 14 appearances and is the team penalty taker Early Update With Bruno scoring another penalty tonight, he is currently ...
by harry_rag
Sun Nov 22, 2020 12:27 pm
Forum: Rugby League / Union Betting Forum
Topic: Gallacher Premiership
Replies: 53
Views: 4428

Re: Gallacher Premiership

Wasps v Bristol: Sell Wasps hotshots at 60 with SPIN (Lima Sopoaga, Zach Kibirige, Josh Bassett, Jack Willis) Pretty much as good as it gets for me, value wise. SX are just 49-53 with Umaga in for Sopoaga and Umaga adds double the value. Even the most optimistic take on the true value of the SPIN qu...
by harry_rag
Sat Nov 21, 2020 5:19 pm
Forum: Football Betting Forum
Topic: Football for the season 2020-2021
Replies: 113
Views: 5488

Re: Football for the season 2020-2021

Spurs v Man C: Kane to score 2/1 Fred and to get an assist 8/1 Lads. Both limited to a tenner. The anytime price is a routine case of an enhanced special that edges into apparent value. I can't get my head round the assist price as Soccerway and Whoscored have him in for more assists than goals! {8 ...
by harry_rag
Fri Nov 20, 2020 7:09 pm
Forum: Rugby League / Union Betting Forum
Topic: Superleague 2020 (And any other club RL)
Replies: 96
Views: 11892

Re: Superleague 2020 (And any other club RL)

No joy there. For tonight I'm on Davies at 2/1 with Betway for Catalans at St Helens. Yes, they're the underdogs but he's too prolific to be that big a price.
by harry_rag
Fri Nov 20, 2020 4:08 pm
Forum: Rugby League / Union Betting Forum
Topic: Other Rugby Competitions
Replies: 268
Views: 13252

Re: Other Rugby Competitions

No joy there but no disaster, made up at 50 for a loss of 2 x stake. 2 standouts in tonight's RU. Harlequins v Exeter: Sell Exeter hotshots at 38 with SPIN (Facundo Cordero, Tom O'Flaherty, Olly Woodburn, Sam Simmonds) Sale v Northampton: Sell Sale hotshots at 35 with SPIN (Luke James, Denny Solomon...
by harry_rag
Thu Nov 19, 2020 4:21 pm
Forum: Rugby League / Union Betting Forum
Topic: Superleague 2020 (And any other club RL)
Replies: 96
Views: 11892

Re: Superleague 2020 (And any other club RL)

Wigan v Hull: Farrell to score a try at 5/2 888

Only price that floats my boat but looks decent at anything over 2/1 to me.
by harry_rag
Thu Nov 19, 2020 4:17 pm
Forum: Rugby League / Union Betting Forum
Topic: Other Rugby Competitions
Replies: 268
Views: 13252

Re: Other Rugby Competitions

Otago v Northland: Sell Otago hotshots at 48 with SPIN (Michael Collins, Vilimoni Koroi, Josh Timu, Jona Nareki) This was shaping up to be the classic example of a value bet in this market (SX go 44-48 with Tomkinson in for Timu despite Tomkinson appearing to add twice as much value). The only area ...
by harry_rag
Wed Nov 18, 2020 9:14 am
Forum: Football Betting Forum
Topic: Football for the season 2020-2021
Replies: 113
Views: 5488

Re: Football for the season 2020-2021

harry_rag wrote:
Tue Nov 17, 2020 10:43 pm
Anyone still up could do worse that take the 3/1 enhanced odds with Hills for Firmino to score in the Uruguay v Brazil game.

Also think Cavani is generously priced at 7/2 PP.

11:00 kick off so tarry ye not.
*, Wish I’d switched the iPad off early!
by harry_rag
Tue Nov 17, 2020 10:43 pm
Forum: Football Betting Forum
Topic: Football for the season 2020-2021
Replies: 113
Views: 5488

Re: Football for the season 2020-2021

Anyone still up could do worse that take the 3/1 enhanced odds with Hills for Firmino to score in the Uruguay v Brazil game.

Also think Cavani is generously priced at 7/2 PP.

11:00 kick off so tarry ye not.
by harry_rag
Mon Nov 16, 2020 11:22 pm
Forum: Football Betting Forum
Topic: Football for the season 2020-2021
Replies: 113
Views: 5488

Re: Football for the season 2020-2021

Grant void as didn’t start, Marquis obliged at 7/4 which would normally have been enough for a profit but limited stake means a small loss. Still up overall given the return on the rugby bets.
by harry_rag
Mon Nov 16, 2020 11:06 pm
Forum: Rugby League / Union Betting Forum
Topic: Other Rugby Competitions
Replies: 268
Views: 13252

Re: Other Rugby Competitions

Hotshots made up at 25 in the first game for a 16 point profit but 100 in the other for a 42 point loss. No sub try though so that returned a 64 point profit which (I think) adds up to a net 38 point profit.

Oh, and a buy of the front 5 try minutes would have shown a profit too!
by harry_rag
Mon Nov 16, 2020 4:03 pm
Forum: Football Betting Forum
Topic: Football for the season 2020-2021
Replies: 113
Views: 5488

Re: Football for the season 2020-2021

Have had a look at the scorer markets for Plymouth v Portsmouth later and backed 3 players to score anytime. These should give you a few oohs and aahs if you fancy an interest in the game. Marquis at 7/4 Fred Harness at 49/20 888 Grant at 11/2 888 The Marquis price looks the best value but you may b...
by harry_rag
Mon Nov 16, 2020 3:24 pm
Forum: Rugby League / Union Betting Forum
Topic: Other Rugby Competitions
Replies: 268
Views: 13252

Re: Other Rugby Competitions

Nothing in the middle game but sold Leinster hotshots at 58 and sub try minutes at 64 v Edinburgh, both with SPIN. Hotshots are (Jimmy O'Brien, Cian Kelleher, Dave Kearney, James Tracy). SX 6 points lower with Turner for Tracy. Always hard to compare when one of the players (Tracy) is lumped in with...
by harry_rag
Mon Nov 16, 2020 3:04 pm
Forum: Rugby League / Union Betting Forum
Topic: Other Rugby Competitions
Replies: 268
Views: 13252

Re: Other Rugby Competitions

Cheers Col, 3 games tonight, on this one in the earliest. Zebre v Ulster: Sell Ulster hotshots at 41 with SPIN (Michael Lowry, Craig Gilroy, Ethan McIlroy, Alby Mathewson) SX are 6 points lower with Marshall rather than Mathewson but I'd say those two players are broadly similar in terms of what the...
by harry_rag
Mon Nov 16, 2020 1:23 pm
Forum: Chit Chat
Topic: Film thread (and the odd book)
Replies: 467
Views: 31357

Re: Film thread (and the odd book)

I watched the Stallone remake of Get Carter last night. *, A real pig of a film but has a certain curiosity value if you know the original. Worth watching for the amusement value of them keeping the same character names so everyone in latter day America has names like Doreen and Thorpey! :) I think ...
by harry_rag
Mon Nov 16, 2020 1:15 pm
Forum: Football Betting Forum
Topic: Football for the season 2020-2021
Replies: 113
Views: 5488

Re: Football for the season 2020-2021

No joy with Mjelde.
by harry_rag
Mon Nov 16, 2020 12:24 pm
Forum: Rugby League / Union Betting Forum
Topic: Other Rugby Competitions
Replies: 268
Views: 13252

Re: Other Rugby Competitions

Back to winning ways, made up at zero for a gain of 40 x stake.
by harry_rag
Sun Nov 15, 2020 8:44 pm
Forum: Golf Betting Forum
Topic: W/C 9 November
Replies: 16
Views: 746

Re: W/C 9 November

PlaceWinner wrote:
Sun Nov 15, 2020 8:29 pm
PlaceWinner wrote:
Wed Nov 11, 2020 10:56 am
Masters [72 Hole Match]

Justin Thomas to beat DeChambeau @ 21-20 [William Hill]

Fav has a poor record at Augusta
Wins by 10 ;-)
Cheers for that one. Along with Rory placing I got out more or less level despite the absence of any holes in one.
by harry_rag
Sun Nov 15, 2020 2:08 pm
Forum: Football Betting Forum
Topic: Football for the season 2020-2021
Replies: 113
Views: 5488

Re: Football for the season 2020-2021

Ah the delights of International weeks and the chance to go off piste for ones bets! Chelsea Women v Man City Women, buy Mjelde goal minutes at 4 with SPIN. Already has one in 3 games this season, scored 4 in 14 last season. Not bad at the equivalent of going on 9/1 anytime (no fixed odds firms hav...
by harry_rag
Sun Nov 15, 2020 1:49 pm
Forum: Rugby League / Union Betting Forum
Topic: Other Rugby Competitions
Replies: 268
Views: 13252

Re: Other Rugby Competitions

Munster v Ospreys: Sell Munster hotshots at 40 with SPIN (Darren Sweetnam, Rory Scannell, Damian de Allende, Matt Gallagher) SX are 3 points lower but have the far more valuable Coombes instead of Scannell. (The former's try minutes being more or less double the latter's.) My take on the true value ...
by harry_rag
Sun Nov 15, 2020 1:00 pm
Forum: Football Betting Forum
Topic: Football for the season 2020-2021
Replies: 113
Views: 5488

Re: Football for the season 2020-2021

Game abandoned due to rain! {8

Money back on the fixed odds bets and a small loss on the spread (settled at mid-point of price at the time of abandonment).
by harry_rag
Sun Nov 15, 2020 12:59 pm
Forum: Rugby League / Union Betting Forum
Topic: Other Rugby Competitions
Replies: 268
Views: 13252

Re: Other Rugby Competitions

2 tries for the hotshots for a make up of 50 and a loss of 8 x stake.
by harry_rag
Sun Nov 15, 2020 12:58 pm
Forum: Rugby League / Union Betting Forum
Topic: Autumn Nations Cup
Replies: 14
Views: 649

Re: Autumn Nations Cup

:thumbs Cheers, nice to have a bit of good fortune with the posted selections. Well done on that winner Matt, no doubt it will be a role reversal on the next batch of bets. Not often I get the chance to sell at such high prices. It's usually much lower, grinding out the smaller profits to cover the ...
by harry_rag
Sat Nov 14, 2020 5:10 pm
Forum: Football Betting Forum
Topic: Football for the season 2020-2021
Replies: 113
Views: 5488

Re: Football for the season 2020-2021

Quick look at the scorers in the 5:20 National League game between Eastleigh and Hartlepool.

Small bets on Joe Tomlinson 9/1 anytime 365 (smaller than I'd have liked) and buy his goal minutes at 5 with SPIN. Promising young lad, has scored a pen and scored at a reasonable rate at lower grade.
by harry_rag
Sat Nov 14, 2020 4:55 pm
Forum: Rugby League / Union Betting Forum
Topic: Autumn Nations Cup
Replies: 14
Views: 649

Re: Autumn Nations Cup

1 try each for England's hotshots and subs for make ups of 25 and 69, overall profit of 109 x stake. :cheers
by harry_rag
Sat Nov 14, 2020 4:12 pm
Forum: Rugby League / Union Betting Forum
Topic: Other Rugby Competitions
Replies: 268
Views: 13252

Re: Other Rugby Competitions

Bay of Plenty v North Harbour: Sell Bay of Plenty hotshots at 42 with SPIN (Kaleb Trask, Emoni Narawa, Mathew Skipwith-Garland, Joe Webber)

SX are 3 points lower with Tiatia instead of Garland and Tiatia is worth more than double. True price more like 35, edge of almost 17%, yada yada! :)
by harry_rag
Sat Nov 14, 2020 2:16 pm
Forum: Rugby League / Union Betting Forum
Topic: Autumn Nations Cup
Replies: 14
Views: 649

Re: Autumn Nations Cup

As per the All Blacks, even more so for England v Georgia. Sell England hotshots at 81 with SPIN (Elliot Daly, Jonathan Joseph, Henry Slade, Jonny May) and their subs try mins at the generally available 122. I get the true value for the hotshots as 64 and the highest I can get them to is 70. Couldn'...